Thursday, December 31, 2015

My Portfolio 2015 (closing)

The following is my portfolio as at 2015 Dec (not in any order).Compare to last year portfolio, the major action was divesting 10 lots of SingPost at $1.98 and reinvested into OUE Comm Reit and LMIR. Not a good year for me as with most people. the star performer in my portfolio in 2015 was SATs.

Edited in the prices as at Dec 31 (after trading).

DBS  ($16.69)
SPH   ($3.94)
SingTel ($3.67)
StarHub ($3.70)
CityDev ($7.65)
SP Ausnet ($1.51)
Keppel Infra Trust ($0.51)
Olam ($1.82)
Wilmar ($2.94)
SIA ($11.20)
Keppelcorp ($6.51)
SembCorp ($3.05)
CMPacific ($0.875)
CroesusRetail ($0.81)
CDL Trust ($1.325)
AsiaPay TV Trust ($0.64)
Capital China Trust ($1.49)
Ascendas India Trust ($0.87)
Lippo Malls Trust ($0.32)
SuntecReit ($1.55)
OUE Comm Trust ($0.655)
StarHillGlobal Reit ($0.755)
SATs ($3.84)
First Reit ($1.20)
KReit ($0.93)
Accordia Golf Trust ($0.535)
SoilBuild Trust ($0.77)
HPH Trust ($0.75)
SuperGroup ($0.84)
OCC 5.1%NCPS 100 ($104.4)
DBS$800M4.7%NCPS ($105.50)



Tuesday, November 17, 2015

Marco Polo Marine - Potential Bankruptcy?

Yesterday, MP Marine issued a statement that it had unilaterally terminated a contract for a high spec rig (scheduled to be delivered in Q4 F15) from PPL shipyard due to material breaches on the delivery of the contract. Specifically, cracks were found to be all three legs of the rigs after two rounds of testing.It s also going to claim back the initial 10% deposit of the contract through the legal process.

This morning, Sembcorp Marine, the parent of PPL shipyard issued a statement that PPL did not yet received the termination order and will considered MP Marine unilateral announcement as a breach of the contract and will take the necessary actions to reclaim it rights.

The way I see it is that this is NOT AN OVERNIGHT decision that surprised both sides. MP Marine could not have just paid up 10% of the contract and expect delivery by Q4 FY15. It must have missed at least one or more subsequent payments.With a market cap of just $70m and in such a difficult O&G environment with oil prices hovering around $US40, there is no way it could have proceed forward to take delivery of the rig when it is a newbie in the rig leasing business with zero customer.

Now the matter has gone to legal, it will be reasonable to expect a tussle but the chances of MP Marine getting reimbursed back for the initial 10% deposit is low at this late stage in the project.In the worse case, bankruptcy is not a impossible scenario. the CEO Sean Lee may have been too preoccupied with his new bride Vivian Hsu to keep his eyes on the crystal ball.This is evidenced by the more than 10% drop in MP Marine share price today.

My two cents worth!

Thursday, November 5, 2015

LMIRT 3QFY2015

Revenue                                 = $43,547,000
NPI                                         = $40,290,000
Distributable Income             = $21,487,000
DPU                                       = 0.77 cents
NAV                                       = 37 cents
Gearing                                   = 35%

Wednesday, November 4, 2015

SAT 2QFY15/16

Revenue                                  $422.7m
Operating Profit                      $59.2m
Share Of Associates                $11.9m
PATMI                                    $59.7m
EPS                                          5.4 cents
NAV                                        $1.31
Debt/Equity Ratio                    0.07

Thursday, October 29, 2015

CDL Trust 3QFY2015

NPI                                               $33,080,000
Income Available For Dist           $25,880,000
DPU                                              2.36 cents
Occupany                                      90.2%
ARR                                              $201
RevPAR                                        $181
Debt                                               $930m
Gearing                                          36.5%
Interest Cover                                 6.6X
Avg Weighted Cost Of Debt          2.6%
NAV                                               $1.586

Tuesday, October 27, 2015

StarHillGlobal Reit 1QFY2015/2016

Revenue                                   $56.8m
NPI                                           $43.6m
Income Available For Dist       $30.0m
DPU                                          1.31 cents
Total Debt                                 $1,127m
Gearing                                     35.7%
Interest Cover                           4.8X
Average Interest Rate               3.13%
Unencumbered Asset Ratio      74%
NAV                                          88 cents

Monday, October 26, 2015

AscendasIndiaTrust 2QFY2015/16

Total Property Income                          =  Rupee 1,704m
NPI                                                        =  Rupee 1,107m
Income Available For Dist                   =  $14m
DPU                                                      =  1.37 cents (1HFY2015/2016 2.74 cents)
NAV                                                      = 65 cents
Interest Cover                                         = 4.2
Gearing                                                   = 27%
Percentage Fixed Rate Debt                   = 100%
Average Cost Of Debt                            = 7%
Effective Borrowings                             = $342m (INR:75%,SGD:25%)

INR:SGD (46.7:1)

Saturday, October 24, 2015

CRCT 3QFY2015

Gross Revenue                                            RMB 251,812,000
NPI                                                              RMB 160,301,000
NPI                                                              $ 35,204,000
Distributable Income                                   $ 22,254,000
DPU                                                             2.64 cents (2.35 cents for 3QFY14)
NAV (adjusted for dist)                               $ 1.68
Gearing                                                        28.5%
Interest Cover                                              6.4
Avg Cost Of Debt                                        2.98%
Unencumbered Assets                                 96.7%

Thursday, October 22, 2015

SuntecReit 3QFY2015

Gross Revenue                                 = $81.1m
NPI                                                   = $58.5m
Distributable Income                        = $63.6m
DPU                                                  = 2.522 cents
Total Liabilities                                = $3342m
Gearing                                             = 35.8%
All-In-Financing-Cost                      = 2.74%
Interest Coverage Ratio                    = 4.2X
Adjusted NAV                                  = $2.066

Monday, October 19, 2015

KeppelReit 3QFY2015


Distribution Income                                   = $54.4m
DPU                                                           = 1.7 cents
NAV                                                           = $1.37
All-In Interest rate                                      = 2.5%
Interest Cover Ratio                                    = 4.4
Leverage                                                      = 42.6%
Fixed Rate Borrowing                                 = 72%
Unecumbererd Assets                                  = 72%

Wednesday, October 14, 2015

SoilBuild Reit 3QFY2015

Gross Revenue                                                 = $20,701K
NPI                                                                  = $17,777K
Distributable Income                                       = $15,147K
DPU                                                                 = 1.625 cents
NAV                                                                = 80 cents
Leverage                                                          = 36.1%
Average All-In Interest Ratio                          = 3.2%
Interest Cover                                                   = 4.6X

Tuesday, October 13, 2015

FirstReit 3QFY2015

Revenue                             = $25.288m
NPI                                    = $25.044m
Distributable Income         = $15.604m
DPU                                   = 2.08 cents (3QFY2014 2.02 cents)
Total Debt                          = $398m
Gearing                               = 32.9%
NAV                                   = 102.02 cents

Monday, September 28, 2015

Minister for Haze Prevention???

PM has just released the lineup for his new cabinet. Someone calculated that the new cabinet will cost up to $50m a year excluding bonuses which can up to the max of 18 months.

there are even the new structure of three senior coordinating  ministers to take a bird eye view of and resolving inter-ministerial issues. however, I think we are missing something. Looking at the current
impact of haze where the air quality is really very bad or even hazardous, I think we new a full time
minister for haze that will work full time with the Indonesian to resolve this issue once and for all for the benefit of the region. The economic impact cause by haze definitely much more than that to pay a full time minister to work on the issue.

otherwise with our current rotating chair system with ministerial appointments, the most serious environmental issue had been left unaddressed for almost twenty years and even deteriorated to
the scale and severity that are are seeing recently in 2013 and now.

Thursday, July 30, 2015

CDL Trust 2QFY2015

NPI                                               $31,621,000
Income Available For Dist           $24,602,000
DPU                                              2.25 cents
Occupany                                      86.5%
ARR                                              $200
RevPAR                                        $173
Debt                                               $775m
Gearing                                          32.0%
Interest Cover                                6.8X
Avg Weighted Cost Of Debt          2.7%
NAV                                               $1.6185

Wednesday, July 29, 2015

StarHillGlobal 6QFY2014/2015

Revenue                                   $51.8m
NPI                                           $41.3m
Income Available For Dist       $29.5m
DPU                                          1.29 cents
Total Debt                                 $1,135m
Gearing                                     25.5%
Interest Cover                           4.8X
Average Interest Rate               3.19%
Unencumbered Asset Ratio      73%
NAV                                          90 cents

Tuesday, July 28, 2015

CRCT 2QFY2015

Gross Revenue                                            RMB 249,601,000
NPI                                                              RMB 165,780,000
NPI                                                              $ 36,039,000
Distributable Income                                   $ 22,936,000
DPU                                                             2.73 cents (2.59 cents for 2QFY14)
NAV (adjusted for dist)                               $ 1.65
Gearing                                                        27.7%
Interest Cover                                              6.4
Avg Cost Of Debt                                        2.98%
Unencumbered Assets                                 96.3%

Friday, July 24, 2015

AscendasIndia 1QFY15/16

Total Property Income                          =  Rupee 1,607m
NPI                                                        =  Rupee 1,035m
Income Available For Dist                   =  $14.1m
DPU                                                      =  1.37 cents
NAV                                                      = 68 cents
Interest Cover                                         = 4.5
Gearing                                                   = 26%
Percentage Fixed Rate Debt                   = 100%
Average Cost Of Debt                            = 6.8%
Effective Borrowings                             = $323m (INR:71%,SGD:29%)

INR:SGD (47.0:1)

Thursday, July 23, 2015

SATS 1QFY15/16

Revenue                                  $416.9m
(Food Solution                        $241.1m
 Gateway Services                  $174.7m
 Corporate                               $1.1m)

Operating Profit                      $44.0m
Share Of Associates                $12.8m
PATMI                                    $49.6m
EPS                                          4.5 cents
NAV                                        $1.34
Debt/Equity Ratio                    0.07

SuntecReit 2QFY2015

Gross Revenue                                 = $81.4m
NPI                                                   = $56.9m
Distributable Income                        = $62.9m
DPU                                                  = 2.5 cents
Total Liabilities                                = $3281m
Gearing                                             = 35.3%
All-In-Financing-Cost                      = 2.70%
Interest Coverage Ratio                    = 4.2X
Adjusted NAV                                  = $2.076

Wednesday, July 22, 2015

SPH Invest in Qoo10!

Singapore Press Holdings (SPH) is the lead investor in a group that has stumped up US$82.1 million (S$112 million) to help e-commerce site Qoo10 expand further across the region.

The other investors include eBay, Saban Capital Group, UVM 2 Venture Investments LP, Brookside Capital and Oak Investment Partners, Qoo10 said in a statement yesterday.

Qoo10's parent company, Giosis, will use the capital to deve-lop technology and infrastructure while also enhancing its services and talent base

HPHT 2QFY2015


Revenue                                                    HK$ 3127.0m
PBT                                                           HK$ 887.2m
PAT                                                           HK$ 695m
PAT Attribtable to HPH shareholders      HK$ 399.9m
Net Assets                                                 HK$ 62,162.2m
Cash & Cash Equiv                                   HK$ 7294,6m
Long Term Debt                                        HK$ 32,905,4m
Interim DPU for 2015                                15.7 HK cents


Monday, July 20, 2015

First Reit Investment Trust 2QFY2015

Revenue                             = $25.0m
NPI                                    = $24.6m
Distributable Income         = $15.4m
DPU                                   = 2.07 cents (1HFy2015 4.13 cents)
Total Debt                          = $401.6m
Gearing                               = 32.9%
NAV                                   = 101.94 cents

Tuesday, July 14, 2015

SoliBuild 2QFY2014

Gross Revenue                                                 = $19,590K
NPI                                                                  = $14,304K
Distributable Income                                       = $14,304K
DPU                                                                 = 1.615 cents
NAV                                                                = 79 cents
Leverage                                                          = 36.3%
Average All-In Interest Ratio                          = 3.49%
Interest Cover                                                   = 4.6X

Monday, July 13, 2015

NO Grexit!

Eurozone leaders have reached a "unanimous" agreement after marathon talks over a third bailout for Greece, EU President Donald Tusk has said.
He said that a bailout programme was "all ready to go" for Greece, "with serious reforms and financial support".
"There will not be a 'Grexit'," said European Commission head Jean-Claude Juncker, referring to the fear that Greece would have to leave the euro.
Greece is expected to pass reforms demanded by the eurozone by Wednesday

Monday, June 29, 2015

OUE COM Reit Rights Issue

OUE COM Reit proposes an acquisition of an indirect interest of One Raffles Places through the acquisition of between 75% to 83.33% of OUB Centre Limited from OUE Ltd (the sponsor).Valuation of OUBC interest is at around $1734m from two independent valuers.Funding of the acquisition is a mixture of voluntary rights ($218.3m), CPPU ($500m to $550m) and debt($333.3m to $399.3m). The 9-for-20 rights issue at $0.555 will result in a TERP of $0.731 per share based on yesterday closing price of $0.81.The CPPU will be issued to the Sponsor for an annual coupon of 1% per year with a restriction period of 4 years.The CPPU will be classified as equity with a conversion price of $0.841 with no more than one third of the CPPU initially issued can be converted in any one year. This represent a 15% discount over the TERP.Assuming a 75% indirect interest, leverage will be at 40.9% of the enlarged portfolio.

Wednesday, June 17, 2015

GrexIt - Why No Panic this time????

Why markets seems not reacting violently to impending Grexit???The answer may lie in the below article I read from somewhere.

"Years ago, back when the Greek debt crisis and attendant political machinations in the Eurozone first hit the headlines, the media was full of people screaming at you to pay attention to arcane fiscal disputes in far-off European capitols. And they were right. At the time, there was a serious risk of financial contagion from Greece to other European countries that could have lead to the collapse of the Eurozone and all kinds of wild consequences for global banking, the world economy, and other big, important things.
Now Greece's debt woes are back in the headlines, and if you want to get caught up, we've got you covered. But if you don't want to get caught up, that's okay! There's a big difference between this round of Greek drama and the previous one. This time it's really not that important. You don't have to pay attention.

The Greek crisis is very important for Greece

The crisis in Greece is very important for the nation of Greece. If you are Greek, if you live in Greece, if you have family in Greece, etc., this is very important.
Basically, if Greece cannot work out a new deal with the people to whom it owes money (primarily the European Central Bank, the International Monetary Fund, and various richer European nations), then Greek people are going to experience some (more) terrible economic pain.
Their country may leave the Eurozone, or the country may continue to formally use the euro but with Greek people unable to take their euros out of the country or exchange them for foreign money. Either way, the best-case scenario would be a healthy bout of inflation complete with lost savings and reduced incomes for pensioners and public employees followed by a reduction in the unemployment rate. The worst-case scenario would be the rapid breakdown of Greek politics and the further rise of the neofascist Golden Dawn political party.
Long story short — Greek people should pay attention to the Greece news.

The previous Greek crisis was important for everyone

Note that list of people to whom Greece owes money. Those are governments and government-backed institutions, not banks and individual investors.
That's not an accident, it's a consequence of the resolution of the last Greek crisis.
When that crisis happened, lots of Greek debt was owned by foreign banks. And lots of those banks also owned the debt of other European countries — notably Ireland, Portugal, and Spain — which had been hit by devastating recessions. This led to two big ways that Greece's crisis could become everyone's crisis:
  1. A Greek default could imperil the solvency of some foreign banks.
  2. A Greek default could lead people to anticipate defaults from other countries.
In other words, a Greek default could have led to runs on both foreign banks and whole foreign countries, as panicky investors started selling things. And then behind the four PIGS (Portugal, Ireland, Greece, and Spain) lay Italy, a massively indebted country whose economy is also far too large for the rest of Europe to be able to avoid a bailout. People feared a worst-case scenario of cascading national defaults and the chaotic, unplanned collapse of the Eurozone. If that happened, the US economy, which was still fragile following the 2008 recession, could've fallen back into crisis.
But in the end, Greek politicians and German politicians worked out a bailout deal. Then the European Central Bank assured everyone that no country would be forced into default as long as it was playing by the austerity-minded rules of Eurozone elites. There was no contagion.

Today, Greece is isolated

Greece is in crisis today because the deal the previous crop of Greek politicians worked out forced a steep fall in Greek living standards. The Greek government had to pursue a very austere fiscal policy, enact a series of unpopular changes to labor law, and, by staying in the Eurozone, was unable to use currency depreciation as a way of spurring job creation. As a result, Greece's unemployment rate has hovered at more than 20 percent for years.
Naturally, Greek voters were angry about this. So they turned to an opposition political party — in this case the far-left Syriza — to lead them out of the abyss. And since January, Syriza has been asking for a better deal.
But Syriza has a problem. The old risk that a Greek meltdown would burn the entire Eurozone has gone away. Greece's debt is in the hands of European governments, which are using that debt as a means of political control to force Greece to change its policies, not as an investment. And the European Central Bank is fully backing Portuguese, Spanish, Irish, and Italian debt, since all four of those countries are sticking with the program. If Greece defaults, nothing terrible happens to the rest of Europe. Syriza is playing high-stakes poker, but it has no cards, and everyone else at the table knows it.

European elites care more than you'd think

This naturally raises the question of why the drama keeps happening at all. Why don't Greece's partners call the bluff and walk away from the table?
The reason is that the Eurozone is more of a political project than an economic one, and it's one that most of Europe's politicians believe in. If Greece were to leave the Eurozone, that would be a blow to the prestige of the project. Non-Greek politicians (and the voters they are accountable to) are not willing to pay a large price to avoid this outcome, but they are willing to pay something. Consequently, though Syriza isn't going to get anything close to what it promised Greece's voters, it really can get some kind of more generous deal.
This has left Europe in an endless cycle of negotiations that break up, only to return, only to break up again. If a deal is reached, it will be at the last minute, and it won't drastically alter the status quo. If a deal isn't reached, we won't know until the last minute, and it won't have big consequences for the rest of the rest of the world.
So if you're Greek, you really should be paying attention to this news. And if you're just interested in high-stakes economic stories, it's a fascinating, important story. "

Monday, May 18, 2015

Kra Canal - Whither Singapore?

China and Thailand recently agreed in Guangzhou on a canal project through the Kra Isthmus, the narrowest part of the Malay peninsula in southern Thailand, which means the project, in the pipeline for years, may start construction soon, according to the website of Hong Kong-based Oriental Daily.

The agreement follows on from efforts by China to hammer out the implementation of its New Silk Road Economic Belt and 21st Century Maritime Silk Road initiatives, with the ongoing push to establish a China-Pakistan economic corridor and a Sino-Russia high-speed rail project. When the canal of over 100 kilometers in length opens, ships will be able to pass from the Gulf of Thailand in the Pacific directly into the Andaman Sea in the Indian Ocean, cutting down the current route by at least 1,200 kilometers, the website stated.

Guangzhou Agreement

At the research and investment cooperation talks in Guangzhou, China and Thailand signed a memorandum of understanding on the canal project, according to the website. The project, expected to begin construction soon, will likely take ten years to complete and will cost US$28 billion. The canal will mean that oil transport ships and merchant ships travelling from the Middle East to China will no longer have to pass through the Strait of Malacca.

The Strait of Malacca is a an important maritime passage and especially important for China's oil supply, as 80% of China's oil comes from the Middle East and Africa and 80% of this has to pass through the strait, where pirates pose a constant threat to China's oil supply.

Liang Yunxiang, a professor at the School of International Studies of Peking University told the website that the memorandum of understanding suggests that China is going to be the main driver behind the opening of the canal, which has important political and strategic significance. Liang said the project will help strengthen China's cooperation with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Free Trade Area at the same time as ridding itself of its reliance on the Strait of Malacca. It will also cut short the route ships have to take, cutting the time taken by two to five days and consequently reduce costs and boost the development of ports in Hong Kong and the mainland. Liang said, however, that there are also political risks to the project, as it is subject to the political climate of countries in Southeast Asia and US-Thai relations.

Another motive behind the project is China's fear that the US could blockade the Strait of Malacca, cutting off the country's oil supply, according to the website.

Macau-based military analyst Huang Dong said that the canal will also improve the PLA Navy's ability to react to international incidents. The PLA Navy recently evacuated citizens of several countries from Yemen, for example, after the civil war there escalated.

Li Zhenfu, a professor at Dalian Maritime University, stated said that as Chinese companies will participate in the project, China will likely be granted some level of authority over the canal and may even be able to negotiate to refuse passage through the canal to warships from certain countries, increasing China's influence in Southeast Asia.

The idea for the canal, which will be the largest in Asia on its completion, is said to have first emerged in the 17th century and over 100 years ago it was formally proposed by Chulalongkorn, king of Siam. The costs were too much for Siam to bear, however, and the project was later delayed by the two world wars of the 20th century.

The current proposal is for a two-way 25 m deep canal measuring 102 km in length and 400 m wide. The Panama Canal is only 15 m deep and it measures only 304 m at its widest point.

Wednesday, May 13, 2015

SATS 4QFY2014

Revenue                                  $425m
(Food Solution                        $250.9m
 Gateway Services                  $173m
 Corporate                               $1.2m)

Operating Profit                      $44.7m
Share Of Associates                $13.1m
PATMI                                    $51.6m
EPS                                          4.7 cents
NAV                                        $1.3
Debt/Equity Ratio                    0.07
DPU                                         9 cents

With a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.07, SATs is one of the least leverage counter I have in my portfolio.It is generating a quarterly EPS higher than SIA Engineering at a 75% share price.

Tuesday, May 12, 2015

APTT 1QFY2015


Subscribers
Basic Cable TV                       756K (ARPU: NT$ 537)
Premium Digital TV                136K (ARPU: NT$188)
Broadband                                185K (ARPU: NT$526)

Revenue                                    $82,292,000
EBITDA                                    $48,663,000 (EBITDA Margin: 59.1%)
Gearing                                      44%
Interest Cover                            Greater than 4
NAV                                           90 cents




Thursday, May 7, 2015

LMIR 1QFY2015

Revenue                                 = $41,203,000
NPI                                         = $39,026,000
Distributable Income             = $21,501,000
DPU                                       = 0.79 cents
NAV                                       = 42 cents
Gearing                                   = 31.6%

SembCorp Industries 1QFY2015

Revenue                                 = $2,338m
Profit From Ops                     = $254m
Net Profit                                = $142m
EPS                                         = 7.8 cents
DPU                                        = NA
ROE                                       = 9.7%
Interest Cover                         = 9.7X
NAV                                       = $3.31

Utilities contribute $74.5m net profit whereby $30.9m came from Singapore. The breakdown of the $30.9m are as follows Energy ($12.2m), Water ($8.9m) and Onsite Logistics & Solid Waste ($9.8m).

Wednesday, May 6, 2015

OUE Comm Reit 1QFY2015

Gross Revenue                                       $20.4m
NPI                                                         $15.7m
Amount Available For Dist                    $12.6m
DPU                                                        1.44 cents
Total Assets                                            $1,706,241m
Net Assets                                               $964,252m
NAV                                                        $1.1
Leverage                                                  38.6%
Avg Cost Of Debt                                    2.88%
Interest Service Ratio                               3.9X

Thursday, April 30, 2015

CDL Hospitality Trust 1QFY2015

NPI                                               $34,497,000
Income Available For Dist           $26,632,000
DPU                                              2.44 cents
Occupany                                      87.7%
ARR                                              $197
RevPAR                                        $173
Debt                                               $786m
Gearing                                          32.3%
Interest Cover                                7.5X
Avg Weighted Cost Of Debt          2.7%
NAV                                               $1.615

CDL Hospitality Trust currently faces headwind in Australia and NZ due to the soft Aussie economy and currency depreciation vis-à-vis the SG$.Singapore market also show little growth. The only upside is that the two newly acquired Japanese Hotels will help lift DPU from Q4FY2015 onwards.
                                 

Wednesday, April 29, 2015

StarHillGlobal 5QFY2014/15

Revenue                                   $47.9m
NPI                                           $38.9m
Income Available For Dist       $28.4m
DPU                                          1.26 cents
Total Debt                                 $847m
Gearing                                     28.7%
Interest Cover                            5.4X
Average Interest Rate               3.13%
Unencumbered Asset Ratio      80%
NAV                                          93 cents

AscendasIndia Trust 4QFY14/15

Total Property Income                          =  Rupee 1,518m
NPI                                                        =  Rupee 948m
Income Available For Dist                   =  $13.3m
DPU                                                      =  1.30 cents
NAV                                                      = 68 cents
Interest Cover                                         = 4.2
Gearing                                                   = 25%
Percentage Fixed Rate Debt                   = 100%
Average Cost Of Debt                            = 6.7%
Effective Borrowings                             = $312m (INR:67%,SGD:33%)

INR:SGD (45.2:1)

Monday, April 27, 2015

HPH 1QFY2015

Revenue                                       HK$ 2948.5m
Operating Profit                           HK$ 823.5m
Loss/Profit to Unitholders           HK$ 285.8m
EPS                                              3.28 HK cents
Cash & Cash Equiv                      HK$6895.5m
NAV                                             HK$ 4.90

Sunday, April 26, 2015

DBS 1QFY2015


Some Statistics from 1QFY2015

EPS                                    $1.87
Net Book Value                 $15.30
NIM                                    1.69
Cost Income Ratio             43.2%
Non-Interest Income/Total 38.2%
ROA                                   1.02
ROE                                    12.2
LDR                                    86.5
NPL                                     0.9
SP                                         22 basis points
Tier 1 Capital                      13.4
Total Capital                        15.3

Friday, April 24, 2015

CapitalRetail China Trsut 1QFY2015

Gross Revenue                                            RMB 250,354,000
NPI                                                              RMB 158,578,000
NPI                                                              $ 34,548,000
Distributable Income                                   $ 22,181,000
DPU                                                             2.64 cents (2.40 cents for 1QFY14)
NAV (adjusted for dist)                               $ 1.62
Gearing                                                        28.6%
Interest Cover                                              6.4
Avg Cost Of Debt                                        2.99%
Unencumbered Assets                                 96.1%

Thursday, April 23, 2015

SuntecReit 1QFY2015

Gross Revenue                                 = $74.5m
NPI                                                   = $51.4m
Distributable Income                        = $56m
DPU                                                  = 2.23 cents
Gearing                                             = 34.8%
All-In-Financing-Cost                      = 2.53%
Interest Coverage Ratio                    = 4.4X
Adjusted NAV                                  = $2.085

Wednesday, April 22, 2015

SoilBuid Business Trust - Private Placement

Soilbuid Business Trust executed a private placement yesterday for 111,800,000 shares at a price of
$0.805 cents per share. The gross proceeds amount to $90m including the upsize option.The exercise price is at a discount of 2.8% to the VWAP for the full trading day on 22th April which seems reasonable.

Abou $88.4m of the proceeds will go to partially fund the purchase of 72, Loyang Way and $1.6m will go to pay the estimated expenses incurred in this private placement.Aggregate leverage based on pro forma basis will be marginally reduced to 36.1% from 38.5%.

Wednesday, April 15, 2015

FirstReit 2QFy2015

Revenue                             = $24.7m
NPI                                    = $24.3m
Distributable Income         = $15.2m
DPU                                   = 2.06 cents (8.05 cents annualized)
Total Debt                          = $397.6m
Gearing                               = 33.1%
NAV                                   = 101.94 cents

Sunday, March 22, 2015

LKY = Closing Of An Era

Today in the wee hours of the morning, the first former PM of Singapore Mr Lee Kuan Yew passed away peacefully at SGH. With his demise, this also mark the end of an era of  modern Singapore history.Together with Goh Keng Swee, Toh Chin Chye, S Rajaratnam and others, they single-handedly build a tiny red dot to a modern day nation.Rest In Peace, Sir.

Monday, March 9, 2015

Genting Singapore PLC

I am beginning to see value in this counter.Trailing PE is around 22 and P/B is approximately 1.5.Currently the business still generate more than a $1b of cash flow per year and net debt is low. There is a credit risk with VIP segment has evidenced from the larger provision in last quarter results but I expect management to tighten its credit profile.There is a new hotel coming up in Jurong which will help to drive its mass market segment. All in now, the share is now trading at its 5 year low and management has kick start its buy back programme with 6m shares just bought in yesterday through its buy back programme.It is hard to see value in a lot of counters nowadays but I decided to take the plunge on this one.Although there are casinos coming all over in asia but Genting Singapore is in Jeju and will have a good chance in Japan if regulation goes through.In terms of accessibility, Genting Singapore still command a premium over many casinos in asia.Macau may be more attractive but Chinese gamblers may be more caution over there as it is in the PRC jurisdiction.I made my bet and vested at 0.935 cents.

Thursday, March 5, 2015

OLAM US$750 6.75%B180129


I received my cheque for the above for a sum of US$6512.63 today for the above. I bought 6300 units of  the 6.75% bond at a discount of 5% during the initial issue.The exchange rate then of about 1.20 plus between SG$ and US$. That was two years ago in the midst of Muddy Waters attack on Olam. Probably in a crisis would you be able to get such a deal. It has been a rewarding investment as I have gotten two years of dividends plus the gain in exchange rate. The bond was redeemed at 103.375% compared to the 95% entry price I had. I had intended to hold this till maturity but I guess olam find it onerous to continue due to the sharp appreciation of the US$. No regrets and will redeploy the funds when I find something appropriate.

Tuesday, March 3, 2015

I Sold SingPost

I finally decided to sell SingPost after holding it for more than 4 years.I bought it at around $1.15 and have collected 6.25 cents annually these 4 years. As it is, the current price of around $1.98 does not commensurate with its earnings of about 7 cents per annum.Despite all the hype surrounding Alibaba injection of capital into SingPost, we must remember that SingPost is actually not doing ecommerce directly but more the grunt work of delivering ecommerce parcels.Alibaba do not even want to do the logistics portion in China as it is high cost and low margin.I have watch SingPost performance over the last few years and it seems that the net EPS is fairly stagnant despite the transformation underway. The net increase in logistics EPS is barely keeping up with the fall in core business EPS.Right now, PE ratio is about 28 is which pretty high with low NAV value.SingPost Mall is outdated and relatively uncompetitive, to upgrade to compete, capital will need to be spent for AEI.All in all, I reckon it is better to redeploy my fund invested into SingPost into areas of higher returns.

Friday, February 27, 2015

China Merchant Pacific FY2014


Revenue                                                              = HK$ 2019m
Net Profit Attributable to Shareholders              = HK$ 739m
Net Assets                                                           = HK$ 8930m
Net Borrowings                                                  = HK$ 3198m
Net Gearing                                                        = 0.36
EPS                                                                     = 69.80 HK cents
NAV                                                                    = HK$ 6.10
ROA                                                                    = 6.8
ROE                                                                     = 11.6
FCF                                                                      = HK$ 1705
DPU                                                                     = 3.5 SG cents (2HFY14)

CMPF proposed a bonus shares issued of 20:1 in addition to the 3.5 SG cents for FY2014.Based on CMPF FCF, it can quite comfortably handle the net borrowings.I am reasonably happy with this counter as I have held it for more than 4 years.

Monday, February 23, 2015

APTT 4QFY2014

                                                                    Subscribers                            ARPU

Basic Cable TV                                            756K (755K 2013)               NT$537 (537 2013)
Premium Digital TV                                     133K(123K 2013)               NT$195 (207 2013)
Broadband                                                     183K(180K 2013)               NT$525 (543 2013)

Revenue                                                         $81,846K
EBITDA                                                        $48,900K
Net Assets                                                      $1,275,827K
DPU                                                                2.13 cents (Guided 8,25 cents for 2015)
Gearing                                                           43.2%
NAV                                                                89 cents
Interest Cover                                                  greater than 4

Despite all the naysaying that I read in various forums that was surrounding this counter, I got in at around 75 cents after it went down after IPO and has been collecting dividends ever since.Give myself a pat on the back for this one, at least up to till now.